What-If Monkeys Guide By Marc MacYoung
October 5, 2009 by goshinman · Leave a Comment
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What-If-Monkeys (a field guide to problem people in dojos/seminars/training)
I really like Marc MacYoung’s website at http://www.nononsenseselfdefense.com and I have followed it for years as it is exactly as it says on the tin and a reservoir of great information. I read this web page tonight and I have enclosed a snippet here – you can read the full discussion at http://www.nononsenseselfdefense.com/WIMS.htm.
“Let’s establish something right up front. Engaging in violent conflict is dangerous!
Every time you are involved in violence, it is a crapshoot whether or not you will be injured, crippled or killed. You can do everything “right” and still get injured. If you cannot calmly and rationally accept this reality, then you have no business being in this arena.
Violence is extremely mutable. Those mutations occur from situation to situation and second to second depending on circumstances. As such, attempting to micromanage and have exact pre-planned responses to every possible scenario is unrealistic. Such an attitude hinders mental flexibility and inhibits the responder’s ability to adapt to changing circumstances. This inability increases the danger to the would be responder.
Let us further state, there is NO guaranteed, never-fail, ultimate method to keep from getting hurt. And anybody who tells you otherwise is lying to you — usually in order to get your money.
There are many instructors of so-called combat systems, reality based self-defense programs or deadly esoteric martial arts styles that will take your money in exchange for teaching you their ‘guaranteed system.’
The reason these con men exist is because there are people — who burdened with an over-active imagination — are trying to find a way to never lose. This obsession of theirs leaves them vulnerable to the lies and nonsense of the BS artists who claim they can make you invincible.
The raw truth is that when it comes to losing at violence, everyone gets their turn. Nobody always wins. When that happens, you have to pay the price. You need to know this going in. If you are afraid to take a beating then don’t try to stand up and fight, run away.
While that may stick in your craw, it is a far safer strategy. Violence is dangerous because it mutates so fast. Things change in the blink of an eye. But this is not chaos, nor is it random. It is:
a) the OODA loop (see later) being executed at high speed — by everyone involved
b) factors/conditions that existed previously, but were unknown to you
c) physics and results vs. what you intended (or hoped) would happen
These can be summed up as decisions, surprise and unintended consequences. All change what is happening. And they all occur really, really fast in violence. While violence may look chaotic and random, if it were slowed down, these points would be easier to identify and see the results.
In order to best navigate through violence one must have the ability to adapt, improvise and overcome — and do it quickly. Your plans and actions need to change as fast as the circumstances. And even then you run the risk of not being able to adapt fast enough. This is why there are no guaranteed ways to always ‘win’ or remain unscathed when it comes to violence. There is no system that cover every possible mutation or requirement.
However, there is a particular mindset; people who are both obsessed with the image of violence and a desire to micromanage it, who keep the hucksters of ‘guaranteed fighting systems’ rolling in money. No matter what is presented to them, such people’s fertile imagination always finds a bigger, badder boogey man and weakness with the information. It never occurs to them how often their fantasies of violence defy the laws of physics, common sense, odds, chances and disregards how violent people behave.
All they can see is their fear and their obsession with winning and not getting hurt.
We have a name for these people.
It is a name based on the question they are always chattering.
We call them “What-If- Monkeys.”
Or WIMs for short.”
Copyright of author: Marc MacYoung – read more at http://www.nononsenseselfdefense.com/WIMS.htm.
OODA

It has become an important concept in both business and military strategy. According to Boyd, decision-making occurs in a recurring cycle of observe-orient-decide-act. An entity (whether an individual or an organization) that can process this cycle quickly, observing and reacting to unfolding events more rapidly than an opponent, can thereby “get inside” the opponent’s decision cycle and gain the advantage.
Getting stuck does not lead to winning, since “In order to win, we should operate at a faster tempo or rhythm than our adversaries–or, better yet, get inside [the] adversary’s Observation-Orientation-Decision-Action time cycle or loop. … Such activity will make us appear ambiguous (unpredictable) thereby generate confusion and disorder among our adversaries–since our adversaries will be unable to generate mental images or pictures that agree with the menacing as well as faster transient rhythm or patterns they are competing against.”
Boyd developed the concept to explain how to direct one’s energies to defeat an adversary and survive. Boyd emphasized that “the loop” is actually a set of interacting loops that are to be kept in continuous operation during combat. He also indicated that the phase of the battle has an important bearing on the ideal allocation of one’s energies.
Boyd’s diagram shows that all decisions are based on observations of the evolving situation tempered with implicit filtering of the problem being addressed. These observations are the raw information on which decisions and actions are based. The observed information must be processed to orient it for further making a decision.


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